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Rögle BK v Örebro HK

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rögle BK (Local)

Prediction 69.85%1.43fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -9.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.85%70.00%70.02%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.3875.76%74.15%74.35%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 30.15%3.32fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.738%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.00%29.98%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.083.4033.33%32.16%32.52%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rögle BK (Local): 69.85%; Örebro HK (Visit): 30.15%. For Örebro HK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026%4.6%2026-02-28 11:28
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.61%EV -7.80%E -5.91%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.39%EV +0.399%E +0.120%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.8%2026-02-28 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.31%E -3.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.31%E -3.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 06:33
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.61%E -2.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 22:29
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.61%E -2.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 23:44
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 15:05
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.52%10.7%2026-02-28 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.52%10.7%2026-02-28 16:45
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 70.50%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.50%15.3%2026-02-28 16:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.43%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%3.2%2026-02-27 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.43%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%3.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.43%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%3.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%4.2%2026-02-27 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%5.1%2026-02-27 19:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%6.3%2026-02-27 19:39
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%6.3%2026-02-28 16:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%6.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%6.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%6.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%6.8%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.47%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%8.5%2026-02-27 19:39
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%9.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%11.0%2026-02-27 19:29
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%12.0%2026-02-28 12:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.10%15.6%2026-02-28 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.56%15.8%2026-02-27 19:29