The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rögle BK v Linköping HC

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 13:15 UTC

Final: Rögle BK 2–1 Linköping HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rögle BK (Local)

Prediction 67.88%1.47fair odd
EV -0.894%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%67.82%67.44%69.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4674.07%72.34%72.46%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linköping HC (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd
EV +0.533%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.250%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.29%32.18%32.56%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.903.1335.71%34.07%34.48%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rögle BK (Local): 67.88%; Linköping HC (Visit): 32.12%. For Linköping HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.533%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV +0.533%E +0.170%K +0.250%G +0.001%5.5%2026-09-26 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.04%E -0.668%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 08:50
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.04%E -0.668%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.93%E -2.05%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.25%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 09:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 08:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.36%E -6.19%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.36%E -6.19%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 07:04
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.36%E -6.19%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 07:05
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.36%E -6.19%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -0.894%E -0.612%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%4.0%2026-09-26 12:25
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-09-26 09:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-09-26 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-09-26 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-09-26 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.69%4.0%2026-09-26 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-09-26 11:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%5.6%2026-09-26 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%5.8%2026-09-26 09:00
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%6.3%2026-09-26 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%6.5%2026-09-26 11:24
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%6.5%2026-09-26 11:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%6.5%2026-09-26 11:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%6.5%2026-09-26 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%6.6%2026-09-26 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.09%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%10.4%2026-09-26 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%10.6%2026-09-26 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%12.6%2026-09-26 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%15.5%2026-09-26 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.18%17.1%2026-09-26 13:05