The School of Odds
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Rögle BK v Linköping HC

2026-09-26 13:15 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rögle BK (Local)

Prediction 66.03%1.51fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -7.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.06%65.73%67.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.4671.43%69.93%69.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linköping HC (Visit)

Prediction 33.97%2.94fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.86%33.94%34.27%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.782.752.8637.04%35.91%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rögle BK (Local): 66.03%; Linköping HC (Visit): 33.97%. For Linköping HC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.86, with an expected value of -2.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.59%E -2.46%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.29%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 20:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 20:30
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 20:30
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.88%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -2.86%E -1.000%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-24 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%9.4%2026-09-24 21:10
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 50.59%1.28I 78.13%NM 49.41%58.1%2026-09-24 22:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-09-24 20:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-09-24 20:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-09-24 20:24
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%4.0%2026-09-24 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%4.5%2026-09-24 20:24
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-09-24 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%6.3%2026-09-24 20:24
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.36%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%6.4%2026-09-24 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%6.6%2026-09-24 20:24
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%6.6%2026-09-24 20:24
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%6.6%2026-09-24 20:24
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%6.6%2026-09-24 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-09-24 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%9.9%2026-09-24 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%10.6%2026-09-24 20:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%12.0%2026-09-24 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 51.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%18.9%2026-09-24 20:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.55%19.8%2026-09-24 20:24