The School of Odds
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Örebro HK v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro HK (Local)

Prediction 44.87%2.23fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%44.90%44.73%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.94%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 55.13%1.81fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.10%55.27%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.731.7759.88%58.01%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro HK (Local): 44.87%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 55.13%. For Växjö Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.08%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.73%E -3.35%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 15:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 15:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.28%E -3.69%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.28%E -3.69%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.28%E -3.69%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 15:50
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-10-10 15:55
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-10-10 15:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-10-10 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.84%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.2%2026-10-10 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.84%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.2%2026-10-10 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%4.3%2026-10-10 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%4.5%2026-10-10 14:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-10-10 14:55
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-10-10 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-10-10 14:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-10-10 14:55
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.50%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%6.2%2026-10-10 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%10.1%2026-10-10 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%11.5%2026-10-10 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.90%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.45%15.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%17.1%2026-10-10 15:49