The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Örebro HK v Timrå IK

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro HK (Local)

Prediction 43.40%2.30fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.824%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%43.38%43.40%44.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.182.2850.00%46.26%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Timrå IK (Visit)

Prediction 33.21%3.01fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.37%33.21%34.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.882.9538.46%35.25%34.72%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV -0.579%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%23.25%23.39%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.893.854.2528.17%25.73%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro HK (Local): 43.40%; Timrå IK (Visit): 33.21%; Draw: 23.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -0.579%; they did not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%EV -1.05%E -0.463%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV -2.03%E -0.688%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.92%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -8.67%E -3.15%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.579%E -0.136%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -2.03%E -0.688%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -2.03%E -0.688%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.72%EV -3.22%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.69%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -3.69%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 17:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -5.35%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.83%EV -7.13%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.01%E -2.50%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 17:15
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.43%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.59%EV -4.02%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.92%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -7.01%E -2.50%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -13.45%E -3.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -8.87%E -4.22%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.46%EV -4.02%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.87%E -4.22%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -10.33%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 17:55
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.88%EV -11.04%E -5.38%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.50%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-10 15:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.53%EV -11.04%E -5.38%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -11.99%E -4.53%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -16.95%E -4.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-10 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.16%EV -13.21%E -6.60%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -13.65%E -5.25%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -14.62%E -4.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-10 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-10 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-03-10 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-03-10 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%4.8%2026-03-10 17:50
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%5.3%2026-03-10 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-03-10 15:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-03-10 15:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-03-10 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-03-10 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-03-10 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-03-09 15:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-03-09 15:54
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-03-10 17:55