The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Örebro HK v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC

Final: Örebro HK 3–0 Skellefteå AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro HK (Local)

Prediction 35.99%2.78fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.236%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.04%35.81%35.84%39.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.602.602.7942.19%38.52%38.46%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 64.01%1.56fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.77%64.19%64.16%65.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%66.99%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro HK (Local): 35.99%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 64.01%. For Örebro HK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.423%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV +0.423%E +0.152%K +0.236%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.82%E -1.04%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.63%E -3.11%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.62%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.27%E -3.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 14:20
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.62%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.27%E -3.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.34%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 14:00
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.99%E -2.66%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.99%E -2.66%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.99%E -2.66%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -14.69%E -6.20%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 07:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -14.69%E -6.20%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%4.9%2026-09-26 15:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 35.94%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.06%13.1%2026-09-26 14:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-09-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-09-26 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-09-26 14:25
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.94%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%3.9%2026-09-26 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93%4.8%2026-09-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-09-26 14:00
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-09-26 13:54
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%6.3%2026-09-26 15:07
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%6.7%2026-09-26 14:59
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%9.6%2026-09-26 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%10.5%2026-09-26 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%12.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.39%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.85%15.9%2026-09-26 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.75%17.2%2026-09-26 15:49