The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Örebro HK v Brynäs IF

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro HK (Local)

Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.87%48.95%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.932.0054.05%51.90%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brynäs IF (Visit)

Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%51.13%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.851.9255.56%54.21%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro HK (Local): 48.91%; Brynäs IF (Visit): 51.09%. For Brynäs IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.92, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 08:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 08:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -1.91%E -0.994%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 17:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 17:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%3.1%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%3.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%9.2%2026-03-12 17:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-12 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-12 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-12 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.26%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-03-12 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%4.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%5.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.47%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-12 17:55
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-03-12 17:55
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.43%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%9.1%2026-03-12 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%9.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%11.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%11.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%15.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.49%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%16.0%2026-03-12 17:55