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Malmö Redhawks v Timrå IK

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 13:15 UTC

Final: Malmö Redhawks 1–2 Timrå IK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmö Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 57.01%1.75fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.15%56.63%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.7065.36%61.76%61.92%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Timrå IK (Visit)

Prediction 42.99%2.33fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.437%
Kelly +0.760%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%42.85%43.37%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.302.3546.51%44.43%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmö Redhawks (Local): 57.01%; Timrå IK (Visit): 42.99%. For Timrå IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +1.03%E +0.437%K +0.760%G +0.008%3.9%2026-10-24 12:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 06:09
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -1.12%E -0.488%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 06:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.64%E -4.72%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:45
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.14%E -3.31%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.08%E -1.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-10-24 13:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%2.8%2026-10-24 12:50
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%8.1%2026-10-24 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%8.6%2026-10-24 13:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-10-24 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.7%2026-10-24 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.7%2026-10-24 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-10-24 12:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%6.0%2026-10-24 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%6.0%2026-10-24 12:45
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%6.3%2026-10-24 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%6.7%2026-10-24 12:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-24 12:45
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-24 12:45
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-24 12:45
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-24 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%10.5%2026-10-24 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%11.4%2026-10-24 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.38%15.6%2026-10-24 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.28%17.7%2026-10-24 12:50