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Malmö Redhawks v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmö Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 36.86%2.71fair odd
EV -0.485%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%36.76%37.05%38.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.542.502.7040.32%39.44%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 63.14%1.58fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.00%63.24%62.95%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.501.501.5368.03%66.53%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmö Redhawks (Local): 36.86%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 63.14%. For Malmö Redhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.485%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.485%E -0.180%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.92%E -3.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 16:34
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.485%E -0.180%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.18%E -4.88%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.22%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 14:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.22%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.22%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.22%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.52%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 05:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.55%E -4.42%K -13.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.55%E -4.42%K -13.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 07:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.55%E -4.42%K -13.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.55%E -4.42%K -13.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 07:40
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.02%E -2.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 14:19
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.02%E -2.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-27 14:20
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%8.1%2026-03-27 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%10.3%2026-03-27 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%10.3%2026-03-27 17:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%2.2%2026-03-27 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-03-27 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-03-27 16:34
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%3.9%2026-03-27 14:05
1xBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%4.3%2026-03-27 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-27 14:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-27 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%5.4%2026-03-27 14:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-03-27 14:05
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-03-27 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-27 15:59
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-27 15:59
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-27 15:59
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-03-27 17:54
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%9.6%2026-03-27 17:55
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%10.2%2026-03-27 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%10.9%2026-03-27 14:03
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%15.0%2026-03-27 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%15.0%2026-03-27 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.19%15.5%2026-03-27 14:05