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Malmö Redhawks v Skellefteå AIK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Malmö Redhawks (Local)
assuming max odds 2.75
Skellefteå AIK (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmö Redhawks (Local): 35.58%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 64.42%. For Malmö Redhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:02 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -4.30%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.72%E -1.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 09:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 09:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.65%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 09:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.65%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 09:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 13:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.37% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.59% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.07% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57% | 15.1% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59% | 15.8% | 2026-03-07 09:59 |