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Malmö Redhawks v Örebro HK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Malmö Redhawks (Local)
Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.37%48.25%47.80%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.901.902.0055.87%52.75%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Örebro HK (Visit)
Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV +2.81%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.54%29.80%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.223.253.4535.09%31.06%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.40%4.46fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +0.844%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%22.21%22.40%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.324.404.6026.67%23.16%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmö Redhawks (Local): 47.80%; Örebro HK (Visit): 29.80%; Draw: 22.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.79%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%EV +2.81%E +0.815%K +1.15%G +0.032% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +3.04%E +0.661%K +0.844%G +0.026% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.79%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%EV +2.81%E +0.815%K +1.15%G +0.032% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +3.04%E +0.661%K +0.844%G +0.026% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.79%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%EV +2.81%E +0.815%K +1.15%G +0.032% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +3.04%E +0.661%K +0.844%G +0.026% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -10.14%E -5.39%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +3.04%E +0.661%K +0.844%G +0.026% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 07:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.88%EV -7.75%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.167%E -0.050%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV +0.799%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +0.799%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +0.799%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +0.799%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +0.799%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -13.48%E -7.45%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -3.15%E -0.968%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -1.44%E -0.327%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -14.44%E -8.07%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -2.56%E -0.589%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 06:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.31%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.85%EV -6.42%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.53%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.07%EV -6.72%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -9.18%E -4.83%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.76%E -3.57%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 17:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.09%EV -12.05%E -6.55%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.40%EV -15.07%E -5.29%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -13.76%E -3.57%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 13:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10% | 8.1% | 2026-02-26 13:03 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.70% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.30% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.70% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.30% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 17:05 |