The School of Odds
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Malmö Redhawks v Linköping HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 18:00 UTC

Final: Malmö Redhawks 8–2 Linköping HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmö Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 62.16%1.61fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.00%62.14%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.531.5667.57%65.91%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linköping HC (Visit)

Prediction 37.84%2.64fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.00%37.86%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.492.492.5841.67%40.20%40.16%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmö Redhawks (Local): 62.16%; Linköping HC (Visit): 37.84%. For Linköping HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -2.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 19:19
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.37%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 11:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:35
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 12:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-26 15:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-26 16:03
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-27 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-27 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-10-27 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%7.9%2026-10-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%7.9%2026-10-27 17:50
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 62.92%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.08%9.6%2026-10-27 17:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-10-27 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-10-27 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-10-27 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%5.1%2026-10-27 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%5.5%2026-10-26 11:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%5.9%2026-10-24 21:35
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-10-27 06:05
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%6.3%2026-10-27 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.20%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-10-27 06:04
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-27 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%10.2%2026-10-27 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-10-26 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%11.2%2026-10-27 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 48.31%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%19.0%2026-10-27 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 48.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.83%20.0%2026-10-26 11:54