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Malmö Redhawks v Frölunda HC

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmö Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.08%46.95%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.012.002.0250.00%49.78%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frölunda HC (Visit)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%52.92%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.781.8257.80%56.04%56.18%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Malmö Redhawks (Local): 47.05%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 52.95%. For Frölunda HC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.82, with an expected value of -3.64%; they do not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 01:05
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 21:09
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 21:09
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 21:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-24 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%10.5%2026-09-24 20:00
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 50.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 50.00%60.0%2026-09-24 20:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-09-24 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-09-24 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-09-24 21:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%4.0%2026-09-24 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.9%2026-09-24 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-09-24 21:05
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.54%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-09-24 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%6.3%2026-09-24 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-09-24 21:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-09-24 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%9.8%2026-09-24 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-09-24 20:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%12.3%2026-09-24 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.23%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.51%18.3%2026-09-24 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.49%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.83%19.9%2026-09-24 20:15