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Luleå HF v Örebro HK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luleå HF (Local)
Prediction 55.07%1.82fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.26%55.32%55.07%57.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.86%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Örebro HK (Visit)
Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV +0.448%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.134%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.17%22.93%23.09%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.104.204.3528.17%24.37%23.81%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.714%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.64%21.75%21.84%23.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.404.504.7025.64%22.73%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luleå HF (Local): 55.07%; Örebro HK (Visit): 23.09%; Draw: 21.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.
17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.77%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.45%EV +0.448%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.78%EV +2.64%E +0.562%K +0.714%G +0.019% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV +0.448%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +2.64%E +0.562%K +0.714%G +0.019% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV +0.448%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +2.64%E +0.562%K +0.714%G +0.019% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -0.707%E -0.164%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV +0.459%E +0.100%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.02%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.70%EV -2.55%E -0.605%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -0.707%E -0.164%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.02%E -0.718%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.02%E -0.718%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.02%E -0.718%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.02%E -0.718%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.33%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -3.91%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -11.34%E -7.04%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.33%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -3.91%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -11.89%E -7.43%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -5.33%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.91%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.98%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -3.02%E -0.718%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.98%EV -9.69%E -5.91%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.41%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.18%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.03%EV -11.89%E -7.43%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.35%EV -18.03%E -5.08%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-19 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.10%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 13:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -11.34%E -7.04%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -15.72%E -4.31%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-19 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.32% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.68% | -0.8% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 09:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.51% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.15% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 32.85% | 10.3% | 2026-03-19 17:45 |