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Luleå HF v Färjestad BK

2026-11-14 17:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Luleå HF (Local)

Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.849%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%45.28%45.35%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2550.00%47.45%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Färjestad BK (Visit)

Prediction 54.71%1.83fair odd
EV +0.113%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.136%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.72%54.65%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.721.8359.88%58.05%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luleå HF (Local): 45.29%; Färjestad BK (Visit): 54.71%. For Luleå HF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.91%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +1.91%E +0.849%K +1.53%G +0.029%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-12 21:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 21:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 21:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 21:14
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 00:04
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.64%E -5.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 21:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-12 21:19
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-12 21:34
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.60%E -3.73%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.72%E -2.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-12 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.41%E -4.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.113%E +0.062%K +0.136%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-12 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%6.2%2026-11-12 22:05
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%10.3%2026-11-12 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-13 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-13 01:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-11-12 21:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-11-12 21:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-11-12 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-11-12 21:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%5.8%2026-11-12 21:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%5.8%2026-11-12 21:30
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.73%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%6.2%2026-11-12 21:38
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-11-12 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-11-12 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%6.6%2026-11-12 21:35
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%9.9%2026-11-12 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.77%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%10.6%2026-11-12 21:15
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-11-12 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.72%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.51%19.8%2026-11-12 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 33.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.46%20.2%2026-11-12 21:15
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.92%Coolbet 2.25 (44.9%) / DraftKings 1.83 (55.1%)Show details
Luleå HF (Local)Färjestad BK (Visit)Margin
Coolbet🎯 2.25 (44.9%)DraftKings🎯 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%

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