The School of Odds
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Linköping HC v Rögle BK

2026-11-12 18:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.90%44.01%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.162.152.2046.51%46.22%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rögle BK (Visit)

Prediction 56.10%1.78fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%56.10%55.99%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.691.7061.73%59.46%59.00%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Linköping HC (Local): 43.90%; Rögle BK (Visit): 56.10%. For Linköping HC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -3.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.11%E -5.62%K -14.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 11:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.31%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 11:44
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-03 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%5.9%2026-11-03 11:45
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.01%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%6.3%2026-11-03 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%6.7%2026-11-03 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%11.4%2026-11-03 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 44.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56%19.5%2026-11-03 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.73%1.88I 53.19%NM 44.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.87%19.8%2026-11-03 11:43