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Linköping HC v Örebro HK

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 37.56%2.66fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%37.42%37.56%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6043.48%40.27%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 39.11%2.56fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.67%39.28%39.11%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.40%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.604%
Kelly +0.781%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%23.30%23.33%24.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.124.104.4027.03%24.25%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 37.56%; Örebro HK (Visit): 39.11%; Draw: 23.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71%EV -2.34%E -0.901%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.01%EV -4.18%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%EV +2.66%E +0.604%K +0.781%G +0.021%2.0%2026-03-14 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.04%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.92%EV -4.96%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV +2.66%E +0.604%K +0.781%G +0.021%3.1%2026-03-14 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.04%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.92%EV -4.96%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV +2.66%E +0.604%K +0.781%G +0.021%3.1%2026-03-14 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.63%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.32%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +1.49%E +0.342%K +0.445%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-14 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.11%EV -8.09%E -3.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -0.844%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.11%EV -8.09%E -3.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -0.844%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.11%EV -8.09%E -3.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -0.844%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.11%EV -8.09%E -3.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -0.844%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.95%EV -8.73%E -3.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.09%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.01%E -0.479%K -0.628%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09%EV -4.18%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.34%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -6.53%E -2.73%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -4.34%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.90%EV -10.83%E -4.75%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -4.34%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:49
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.51%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.51%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 13:40
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.67%EV -8.09%E -3.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%EV -13.61%E -5.92%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.32%EV -13.96%E -6.35%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-14 13:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.34%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -13.68%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-14 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-14 04:14
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%5.0%2026-03-14 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%5.3%2026-03-14 14:10
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%5.3%2026-03-14 14:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-14 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-14 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-14 14:10
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%7.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-14 13:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-13 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-13 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-13 13:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-13 14:00
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-03-14 13:45