The School of Odds
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Linköping HC v Örebro HK

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 13:15 UTC

Final: Linköping HC 6–4 Örebro HK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 53.40%1.87fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.33%53.45%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.771.8359.88%57.00%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.67%46.55%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.1050.00%48.99%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 53.40%; Örebro HK (Visit): 46.60%. For Örebro HK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 04:31
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 19:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 07:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 07:21
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 20:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.82%E -6.48%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 06:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-10-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-10-24 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-10-24 13:10
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-10-24 01:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.71%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-10-24 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%2.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%2.6%2026-10-24 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.94%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%4.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%5.4%2026-10-23 04:31
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%5.8%2026-10-23 04:32
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%6.1%2026-10-23 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%6.1%2026-10-23 22:25
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%6.1%2026-10-23 22:25
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%6.1%2026-10-23 22:25
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.73%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%6.2%2026-10-22 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.60%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%6.6%2026-10-22 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.84%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%10.1%2026-10-24 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%10.6%2026-10-23 04:32
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%15.8%2026-10-24 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%18.2%2026-10-24 12:50