The School of Odds
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Linköping HC v Malmö Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 55.10%1.81fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.38%55.21%57.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.711.7760.24%58.68%58.31%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmö Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 44.90%2.23fair odd
EV +0.121%
Edge +0.054%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.67%44.62%44.79%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.122.102.2347.62%47.19%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 55.10%; Malmö Redhawks (Visit): 44.90%. For Malmö Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.227. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.230, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.121%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.12%E -2.37%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 13:50
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.47%E -1.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 13:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 09:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 13:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.07%7.7%2026-02-28 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%8.1%2026-02-28 14:10
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%8.5%2026-02-28 13:50
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%12.0%2026-02-28 14:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-02-28 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-02-28 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-02-28 13:15
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-02-28 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-02-28 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.9%2026-02-28 13:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%5.5%2026-02-28 13:50
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.21%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.53%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%6.2%2026-02-28 14:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.28%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-02-28 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.28%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-02-28 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.28%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-02-28 13:25
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.28%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-02-28 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.44%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.39%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%6.6%2026-02-28 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%8.6%2026-02-28 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%10.1%2026-02-28 13:25
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%10.5%2026-02-28 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%11.8%2026-02-28 13:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%14.6%2026-02-28 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%15.9%2026-02-28 13:50