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Linköping HC v Luleå HF

2026-10-01 17:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.55%38.01%38.07%38.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.502.5546.51%40.83%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luleå HF (Visit)

Prediction 38.43%2.60fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.85%38.51%38.43%39.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.402.442.5046.51%41.62%41.07%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%23.48%23.51%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.954.004.2029.85%25.32%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Linköping HC (Local): 38.07%; Luleå HF (Visit): 38.43%; Draw: 23.51%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV -3.62%E -0.884%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-29 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV -3.62%E -0.884%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-29 20:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV -3.62%E -0.884%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-29 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.62%E -0.884%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 20:35
Coolbet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.95%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.19%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -1.27%E -0.303%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 20:24
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 00:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.77%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 20:34
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.77%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 20:34
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.77%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.77%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -8.32%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 23:59
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.43%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.43%EV -6.24%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.80%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.43%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.43%EV -6.24%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.80%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -7.50%E -3.09%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.32%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.32%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-29 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.88%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.70%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.67%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-29 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.84%EV -16.25%E -7.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.72%EV -17.38%E -8.08%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.45%EV -16.55%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-29 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 37.85%EV -18.16%E -8.45%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 37.85%EV -17.38%E -8.08%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.29%EV -21.25%E -6.34%K -9.04%G +0.000%22.9%2026-09-30 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-09-29 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-09-29 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-09-29 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-09-29 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%5.8%2026-09-29 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-09-29 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-09-29 20:29
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%9.9%2026-09-30 00:00
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 00:20