The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Linköping HC v Luleå HF

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 17:00 UTC

Final: Linköping HC 0–2 Luleå HF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 37.29%2.68fair odd
EV +0.695%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.409%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.11%37.38%37.29%38.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.542.572.7044.44%39.43%38.91%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luleå HF (Visit)

Prediction 39.57%2.53fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.50%39.56%39.57%40.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.58%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.520%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%23.06%23.13%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.963.984.2528.17%25.25%25.16%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 37.29%; Luleå HF (Visit): 39.57%; Draw: 23.13%. For Linköping HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.695%.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40%EV +0.695%E +0.257%K +0.409%G +0.003%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.63%EV -1.86%E -0.749%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV +0.695%E +0.257%K +0.409%G +0.003%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.12%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-01 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV +0.695%E +0.257%K +0.409%G +0.003%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.12%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-01 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.17%E -0.441%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.728%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.77%EV -6.61%E -2.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV -1.69%E -0.397%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 12:15
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.63%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 15:10
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.63%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 15:10
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.63%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.63%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.93%EV -5.27%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -6.31%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 16:58
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.08%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.75%EV -6.61%E -2.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -6.31%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.76%E -2.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -6.76%E -2.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.77%E -4.29%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.10%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.63%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.22%EV -8.63%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.79%EV -11.75%E -5.27%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -14.41%E -3.89%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-01 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -8.63%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.13%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.82%EV -12.94%E -5.88%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -17.88%E -5.04%K -7.01%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-01 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13%EV -16.09%E -7.15%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -12.94%E -5.88%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.88%EV -13.25%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-01 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-10-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-10-01 16:50
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-10-01 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-10-01 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-10-01 04:25
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%4.8%2026-10-01 12:05
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-10-01 11:59
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-10-01 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-10-01 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-09-30 05:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-09-30 05:24
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-09-30 05:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-09-30 05:24
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%8.4%2026-10-01 11:20