The School of Odds
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Linköping HC v Luleå HF

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 43.62%2.29fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.77%43.59%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2347.62%46.28%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luleå HF (Visit)

Prediction 56.38%1.77fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.23%56.41%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.50%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 43.62%; Luleå HF (Visit): 56.38%. For Luleå HF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -2.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 12:59
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.66%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:49
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:14
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:14
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 15:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 15:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-03-10 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-03-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-03-10 17:50
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-03-10 14:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.45%2.4%2026-03-10 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-03-10 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%4.0%2026-03-08 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.35%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-10 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.1%2026-03-08 20:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%6.0%2026-03-07 21:44
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.92%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%6.2%2026-03-10 17:30
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-10 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%6.7%2026-03-10 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-10 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%10.2%2026-03-10 16:15
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%11.1%2026-03-10 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%11.7%2026-03-08 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%15.0%2026-03-10 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.14%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%19.7%2026-03-08 20:09