The School of Odds
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Linköping HC v Frölunda HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Linköping HC 0–3 Frölunda HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 47.94%2.09fair odd
EV +0.674%
Edge +0.321%
Kelly +0.612%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%47.91%47.89%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.39%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frölunda HC (Visit)

Prediction 52.06%1.92fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.09%52.11%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.801.8759.88%56.60%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 47.94%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 52.06%. For Linköping HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.674%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.674%E +0.321%K +0.612%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.06%E -7.82%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.674%E +0.321%K +0.612%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.06%E -7.82%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 13:39
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.674%E +0.321%K +0.612%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.06%E -7.82%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.674%E +0.321%K +0.612%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.06%E -7.82%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.72%E -0.841%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 16:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.04%E -3.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-10-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-10-15 16:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-10-15 16:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.82%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41%2.6%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-15 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-15 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%4.1%2026-10-15 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%4.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%4.8%2026-10-15 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%6.2%2026-10-15 16:20
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-15 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-15 16:40
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-15 16:40
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%6.6%2026-10-15 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%6.6%2026-10-15 16:10
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%10.0%2026-10-15 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%10.3%2026-10-15 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%16.7%2026-10-15 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.88%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.42%17.0%2026-10-15 16:50