Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC v Färjestad BK

2026-10-17 13:15 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 24.49%4.08fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.895%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.09%24.28%24.49%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.914.004.2030.77%25.60%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Färjestad BK (Visit)

Prediction 53.81%1.86fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.56%54.01%53.81%56.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7862.50%59.21%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.97%21.70%21.70%23.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.454.554.8027.78%22.46%21.98%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Linköping HC (Local): 24.49%; Färjestad BK (Visit): 53.81%; Draw: 21.70%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.80, producing a positive expected value of +4.14%.

12 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV +2.86%E +0.682%K +0.895%G +0.026%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV +4.14%E +0.862%K +1.09%G +0.045%3.1%2026-10-15 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV +2.86%E +0.682%K +0.895%G +0.026%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV +4.14%E +0.862%K +1.09%G +0.045%3.1%2026-10-15 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV +2.86%E +0.682%K +0.895%G +0.026%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV +4.14%E +0.862%K +1.09%G +0.045%3.1%2026-10-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV +0.415%E +0.101%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.71%EV -9.59%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV +3.05%E +0.642%K +0.814%G +0.025%5.0%2026-10-15 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.03%E -0.509%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.97%E +0.419%K +0.532%G +0.010%6.5%2026-10-15 22:09
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.03%E -0.509%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.97%E +0.419%K +0.532%G +0.010%6.5%2026-10-15 22:09
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.03%E -0.509%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.97%E +0.419%K +0.532%G +0.010%6.5%2026-10-15 22:09
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.03%E -0.509%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.97%E +0.419%K +0.532%G +0.010%6.5%2026-10-15 22:10
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.75%E -2.68%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV -1.29%E -0.283%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 21:10
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.36%E -8.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.37%E -0.527%K -0.678%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 22:10
1xBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.03%E -0.509%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.54%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -0.810%E -0.200%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -9.06%E -5.36%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.54%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.33%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.80%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -4.75%E -2.68%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.80%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.05%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 20:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -20.40%E -6.28%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 51.96%EV -13.90%E -8.69%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.47%EV -19.73%E -5.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -17.95%E -5.36%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 51.56%EV -12.28%E -7.54%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.35%EV -21.90%E -6.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-15 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (12)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%5.2%2026-10-15 21:15
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%5.2%2026-10-15 21:15
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-10-15 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-10-15 20:29
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-10-15 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%6.8%2026-10-15 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-10-15 20:30
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%9.0%2026-10-16 01:05
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 35.88%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.12%10.6%2026-10-15 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-16 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-16 00:20