The School of Odds
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Linköping HC v Brynäs IF

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Linköping HC 2–9 Brynäs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linköping HC (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.02%46.75%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.022.002.0750.51%49.55%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brynäs IF (Visit)

Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.98%53.25%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.791.8557.80%56.05%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linköping HC (Local): 46.91%; Brynäs IF (Visit): 53.09%. For Brynäs IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 14:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 15:08
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 15:18
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 17:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 09:04
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.78%E -0.960%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-09-22 16:50
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-09-22 11:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.82%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41%2.6%2026-09-22 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-09-22 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-09-22 15:19
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.9%2026-09-22 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-09-22 15:14
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%4.8%2026-09-22 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%6.1%2026-09-22 11:10
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.24%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-09-22 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.11%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-09-22 15:54
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-09-22 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-09-22 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-09-22 15:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-09-22 15:19
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.70%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%9.6%2026-09-22 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%10.7%2026-09-22 11:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%12.5%2026-09-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%16.2%2026-09-22 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.58%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%17.1%2026-09-22 11:10