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IF Björklöven v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Björklöven 4–2 Växjö Lakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.752%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.98%41.18%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.302.4545.45%43.93%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.02%58.82%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.601.6763.69%62.29%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 41.26%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 58.74%. For IF Björklöven (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.09%E +0.445%K +0.752%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 16:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.43%E -3.37%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 16:54
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.51%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.23%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 05:24
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.23%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.23%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 05:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.23%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 05:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%4.1%2026-10-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%4.6%2026-10-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%4.6%2026-10-01 16:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%7.9%2026-10-01 16:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.96%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.98%2.4%2026-10-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-10-01 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-10-01 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.07%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.67%3.7%2026-10-01 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-10-01 16:20
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.48%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-10-01 14:24
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-10-01 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%6.7%2026-10-01 16:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%6.9%2026-10-01 16:55
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-01 16:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-01 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-01 16:20
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%9.9%2026-10-01 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%11.0%2026-10-01 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%12.2%2026-10-01 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.15%15.8%2026-10-01 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.58%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.14%16.8%2026-10-01 16:55