The School of Odds
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IF Björklöven v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 13:15 UTC

Final: IF Björklöven 1–8 Skellefteå AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV +7.13%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.156%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%24.85%25.13%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.854.2627.78%26.15%25.97%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 74.85%1.34fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -11.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.15%74.87%77.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.261.2982.64%79.66%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 25.15%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 74.85%. For IF Björklöven (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.13%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.12%EV +7.13%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.156%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.88%EV -9.43%E -7.79%K -44.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 12:40
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.588%E +0.147%K +0.196%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.69%E -4.51%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 13:09
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.494%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.494%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.494%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.494%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 12:40
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.18%E -0.827%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.69%E -4.51%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.18%E -0.827%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.69%E -4.51%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.44%E -2.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 12:40
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.44%E -2.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.44%E -2.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.44%E -2.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.44%E -2.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-10-24 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-10-24 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-10-24 13:01
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%8.2%2026-10-24 12:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.79%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%2.7%2026-10-24 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%3.1%2026-10-24 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%3.1%2026-10-24 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.71%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%4.4%2026-10-24 12:30
1xBet🎯6.11I 16.37%NM 15.39%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.19%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%6.3%2026-10-24 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%6.4%2026-10-24 12:55
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%6.4%2026-10-24 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.24%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.41%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%6.7%2026-10-24 12:44
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%6.8%2026-10-24 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%6.8%2026-10-24 12:30
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%6.8%2026-10-24 12:29
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%6.8%2026-10-24 12:30
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%9.9%2026-10-24 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%10.9%2026-10-24 12:53
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.03%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%15.6%2026-10-24 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 17.82%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.92%18.1%2026-10-24 12:55