The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IF Björklöven v HV71

Kickoff: 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Björklöven 4–2 HV71

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 34.73%2.88fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.980%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.62%34.73%41.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.662.752.8044.05%37.66%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 42.85%2.33fair odd
EV +10.98%
Edge +4.24%
Kelly +6.90%
Growth +0.758%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.17%41.92%42.85%44.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.172.5948.78%45.45%46.08%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%22.47%22.42%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.164.224.3527.78%24.06%23.67%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 34.73%; HV71 (Visit): 42.85%; Draw: 22.42%. For HV71 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.98%.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -21.15%E -9.32%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.17%EV +10.98%E +4.24%K +6.90%G +0.758%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -15.59%E -6.42%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.12%EV +7.98%E +3.17%K +5.25%G +0.419%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -3.61%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-29 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.11%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.76%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -8.09%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.74%E -0.980%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.31%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -2.48%E -0.571%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.74%E -0.980%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.31%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -2.48%E -0.571%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.74%E -0.980%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.31%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -2.48%E -0.571%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20%EV -2.74%E -0.980%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -3.61%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 16:54
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.48%EV -7.02%E -3.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.73%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.48%EV -7.02%E -3.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.73%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.48%EV -7.02%E -3.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.73%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.48%EV -7.02%E -3.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.73%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.85%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -11.43%E -4.48%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.33%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-29 16:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.85%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 16:59
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -7.95%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.09%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-29 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -12.16%E -5.93%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -10.33%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-29 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.21%EV -14.90%E -6.08%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -12.16%E -5.93%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.81%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-29 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.77%EV -14.90%E -6.08%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.56%EV -12.16%E -5.93%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.67%EV -19.30%E -5.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-29 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-09-29 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%4.3%2026-09-29 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%4.8%2026-09-29 16:59
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%4.9%2026-09-29 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-09-29 16:54
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-09-29 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-29 16:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-09-27 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-09-27 14:19
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-09-27 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-09-27 14:19
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 45.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%11.6%2026-09-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 32.48%1.01I 99.01%NM 67.52%46.6%2026-09-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 32.48%1.01I 99.01%NM 67.52%46.6%2026-09-29 16:55