The School of Odds
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IF Björklöven v HV71

2026-09-29 17:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.59%38.73%39.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.5046.51%42.19%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV +0.098%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%38.62%38.50%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.442.452.6046.51%40.91%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd
EV -0.955%
Edge -0.220%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.11%22.79%22.77%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.064.104.3528.17%24.62%24.39%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IF Björklöven (Local): 38.73%; HV71 (Visit): 38.50%; Draw: 22.77%. For HV71 (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.597. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.600, producing a positive expected value of +0.098%.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%EV +0.098%E +0.038%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-26 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%EV +0.098%E +0.038%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-26 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%EV +0.098%E +0.038%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-26 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.93%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%EV -1.83%E -0.716%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.37%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 20:04
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 20:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 20:00
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -0.955%E -0.220%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 20:34
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.04%E -2.93%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.51%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.04%E -2.93%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.51%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 20:35
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -6.45%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.06%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 20:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.65%EV -12.85%E -5.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%EV -11.20%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-26 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.45%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-26 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.17%EV -14.79%E -6.72%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.17%EV -15.30%E -6.96%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.66%EV -19.17%E -5.40%K -7.52%G +0.000%19.1%2026-09-26 20:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.62%EV -16.73%E -7.78%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.62%EV -17.23%E -8.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.75%EV -16.89%E -4.63%K -6.37%G +0.000%20.4%2026-09-26 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%4.3%2026-09-26 20:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-09-26 20:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-09-26 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-09-26 20:35
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%10.2%2026-09-26 20:35
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 50.00%1.05I 95.24%NM 50.00%90.5%2026-09-27 00:20