The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IF Björklöven v Frölunda HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 34.78%2.87fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.41%34.52%34.37%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.9240.00%37.52%37.04%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frölunda HC (Visit)

Prediction 65.22%1.53fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%65.48%65.63%67.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5071.43%68.49%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 34.78%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 65.22%. For IF Björklöven (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +1.57%E +0.538%K +0.818%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -8.70%E -6.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.60%E -0.930%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.79%E -3.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 15:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.09%E -4.23%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.09%E -4.23%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.09%E -4.23%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.18%E -1.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.79%E -3.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 15:50
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.09%E -4.23%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-10-10 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%6.1%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%6.1%2026-10-10 15:55
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%8.3%2026-10-10 15:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.99%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-10-10 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%3.4%2026-10-10 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%3.4%2026-10-10 15:10
Coolbet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96%4.7%2026-10-10 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%5.5%2026-10-10 15:50
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%5.8%2026-10-10 15:50
1xBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-10-10 15:40
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-10-10 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-10-10 15:10
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-10-10 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-10-10 15:10
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%9.4%2026-10-10 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%10.9%2026-10-10 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.85%15.9%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%16.8%2026-10-10 15:49