The School of Odds
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HV71 v Örebro HK

2026-10-01 17:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HV71 (Local)

Prediction 39.68%2.52fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.01%39.58%39.68%40.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.352.4347.62%42.89%42.46%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 37.52%2.67fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%37.73%37.52%38.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.502.6045.45%40.47%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.81%4.38fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%22.69%22.81%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.454.104.184.4528.99%24.39%23.95%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HV71 (Local): 39.68%; Örebro HK (Visit): 37.52%; Draw: 22.81%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.45, producing a positive expected value of +1.49%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.65%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -6.58%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +1.49%E +0.334%K +0.431%G +0.006%4.0%2026-09-29 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.59%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%EV -2.45%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%EV -1.93%E -0.450%K -0.586%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-29 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.59%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%EV -2.45%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%EV -1.93%E -0.450%K -0.586%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-29 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.59%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%EV -2.45%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%EV -1.93%E -0.450%K -0.586%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-29 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 20:49
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 20:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 20:49
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 20:50
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.74%EV -6.36%E -2.70%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.66%EV -6.58%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -5.36%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.74%EV -6.36%E -2.70%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.66%EV -6.58%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -5.36%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 20:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 20:35
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.41%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 20:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-29 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98%EV -11.52%E -5.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -9.92%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-29 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.53%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.73%EV -17.46%E -7.94%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.74%EV -16.76%E -4.59%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.5%2026-09-29 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.01%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.24%EV -17.46%E -7.94%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.75%EV -21.32%E -6.18%K -8.70%G +0.000%22.1%2026-09-29 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%5.3%2026-09-29 20:04
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-29 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-29 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-29 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%5.9%2026-09-29 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-09-29 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-09-29 20:34
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.48%10.3%2026-09-29 20:35
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 00:20