The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HV71 v Linköping HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 17:00 UTC

Final: HV71 2–3 Linköping HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HV71 (Local)

Prediction 57.63%1.74fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.57%57.69%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.6863.69%61.11%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linköping HC (Visit)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.43%42.31%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.232.222.2945.45%44.87%45.05%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HV71 (Local): 57.63%; Linköping HC (Visit): 42.37%. For Linköping HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -2.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.08%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 15:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 05:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 05:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 05:45
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.34%E -2.62%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.96%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-20 15:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.49%E -3.35%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.81%E -1.68%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-20 15:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 10:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.53%E -6.07%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-19 01:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-10-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-10-20 16:50
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-10-20 16:45
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%8.4%2026-10-20 08:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-20 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-20 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-20 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%5.4%2026-10-20 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-10-20 16:50
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.34%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-10-20 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-10-20 16:55
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-20 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-20 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-20 16:50
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-20 16:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-10-20 05:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.17%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%10.5%2026-10-20 05:50
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%10.7%2026-10-20 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.91%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%15.9%2026-10-20 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%19.0%2026-10-20 16:50