赔率学院

HV71 v Leksands IF

开赛时间： 2026-03-20 18:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

HV71 (主队)

预测 43.67%2.29公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -3.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.55%43.67%43.69%44.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.57%47.62%45.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

Leksands IF (客队)

预测 33.20%3.01公平赔率
EV -0.393%
优势 -0.131%
Kelly -0.197%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
32.13%33.20%33.37%33.84%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.552.832.883.0039.22%35.28%34.78%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 23.13%4.32公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -0.400%
Kelly -0.524%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
22.42%23.13%22.94%23.99%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.654.034.104.2527.40%24.81%24.39%23.53%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 16 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -0.393%E -0.131%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%EV -1.70%E -0.400%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 18:00
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -0.393%E -0.131%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%EV -1.70%E -0.400%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -0.393%E -0.131%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%EV -1.70%E -0.400%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -2.05%E -0.696%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 18:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.22%EV -6.99%E -3.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.81%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 17:55
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.50%EV -7.86%E -3.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 17:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 17:59
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.69%EV -10.04%E -4.88%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 43.88%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 17:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-20 17:59
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.54%EV -10.92%E -5.35%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.88%EV -12.66%E -6.33%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.63%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.49%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-20 18:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (16)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-03-20 18:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%5.2%2026-03-20 17:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-03-20 18:00
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-03-20 17:59
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-03-20 17:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-03-20 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-03-20 17:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-03-20 17:59
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%6.1%2026-03-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-20 17:59
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-20 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-20 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-20 18:00
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%7.8%2026-03-20 18:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-03-20 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%11.4%2026-03-20 18:00