The School of Odds
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HV71 v Frölunda HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC

Final: HV71 2–6 Frölunda HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HV71 (Local)

Prediction 43.87%2.28fair odd
EV +0.895%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.688%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%43.95%44.16%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.07%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frölunda HC (Visit)

Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%56.05%55.84%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.691.8062.11%59.70%59.17%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HV71 (Local): 43.87%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 56.13%. For Frölunda HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.04%E +0.577%K +1.30%G +0.013%4.3%2026-10-24 15:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 15:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 15:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.74%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.895%E +0.389%K +0.688%G +0.006%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.50%E -5.22%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 09:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 09:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.63%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.63%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 06:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-10-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.9%2026-10-24 15:55
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%4.2%2026-10-24 15:55
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-10-24 15:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-10-24 15:54
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.19%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%6.2%2026-10-24 15:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-10-24 13:55
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-24 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.96%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-10-24 15:55
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-10-24 15:55
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-10-24 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%11.1%2026-10-24 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%15.6%2026-10-24 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.65%1.89I 52.91%NM 44.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.97%19.2%2026-10-24 15:50