Language:English
HV71 v Frölunda HC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HV71 (Local)
Prediction 31.79%3.15fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.32%31.83%31.79%32.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.943.003.1037.74%33.97%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frölunda HC (Visit)
Prediction 45.08%2.22fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.13%45.08%47.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.042.1251.81%49.22%49.02%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd
EV +4.08%
Edge +0.906%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%23.04%23.13%23.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.194.254.5027.40%23.85%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HV71 (Local): 31.79%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 45.08%; Draw: 23.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.08%.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -1.45%E -0.467%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.00%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +4.08%E +0.906%K +1.17%G +0.048% | 2.8% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -1.45%E -0.467%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.00%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +4.08%E +0.906%K +1.17%G +0.048% | 2.8% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -1.45%E -0.467%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.00%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +4.08%E +0.906%K +1.17%G +0.048% | 2.8% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -3.04%E -0.996%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -3.94%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV +1.77%E +0.401%K +0.519%G +0.009% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.610%E +0.140%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.610%E +0.140%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.610%E +0.140%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.610%E +0.140%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -3.04%E -0.996%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.94%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.43%EV -0.547%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.81%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -1.70%E -0.401%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -7.81%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -12.99%E -6.73%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.59%EV -8.12%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.43%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.46%EV -8.12%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 06:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.99%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.99%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.95%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.64%EV -15.75%E -5.94%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.59%EV -12.54%E -6.47%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.93%EV -14.16%E -5.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.44%EV -12.54%E -6.47%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 05:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 14:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 07:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 06:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 06:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 12:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |