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Frölunda HC v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:16 UTC

Final: Frölunda HC 5–4 Växjö Lakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 61.81%1.62fair odd
EV +0.125%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.201%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%61.63%61.69%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.6269.44%66.63%66.67%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -0.694%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%38.37%38.31%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.542.602.6042.37%39.43%38.46%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 61.81%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 38.19%. For Frölunda HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.618. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.620, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.125%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV +0.125%E +0.077%K +0.201%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -9.86%E -4.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 13:16
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 08:00
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 10:54
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 10:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 07:15
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 07:35
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 07:30
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.694%E -0.267%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 07:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%9.9%2026-09-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 65.29%1.90I 52.63%NM 34.71%51.6%2026-09-16 09:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 65.29%1.90I 52.63%NM 34.71%51.6%2026-09-16 09:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-09-18 13:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-09-18 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-09-18 13:14
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%3.8%2026-09-18 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-09-18 13:15
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-09-16 07:15
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.15%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.2%2026-09-18 09:30
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-09-18 13:14
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-09-18 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.50%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-09-18 09:25
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-09-18 13:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%11.3%2026-09-16 07:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%11.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%15.9%2026-09-16 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.92%19.6%2026-09-16 08:00