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Frölunda HC v Timrå IK

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 69.53%1.44fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.51%69.47%69.71%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.331.4275.19%74.07%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Timrå IK (Visit)

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV +0.561%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.244%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.53%30.29%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.053.3033.90%32.27%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 69.53%; Timrå IK (Visit): 30.47%. For Timrå IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.561%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.561%E +0.170%K +0.244%G +0.001%5.5%2026-03-07 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.561%E +0.170%K +0.244%G +0.001%5.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.561%E +0.170%K +0.244%G +0.001%5.5%2026-03-07 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.75%E -3.47%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.49%E -0.777%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.62%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 08:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 08:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 09:16
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 09:15
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.27%E -0.895%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -10.10%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-03-07 16:49
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%8.7%2026-03-07 14:35
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 36.07%1.01I 99.01%NM 63.93%54.9%2026-03-07 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 42.08%1.01I 99.01%NM 57.92%71.0%2026-03-07 16:54

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.49%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-03-07 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%2.6%2026-03-07 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%2.6%2026-03-07 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%4.6%2026-03-07 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-07 14:34
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-07 14:34
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.37%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.47%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%6.2%2026-03-07 11:15
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%6.3%2026-03-07 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%6.6%2026-03-07 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%6.7%2026-03-07 16:29
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%6.7%2026-03-07 16:29
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%6.7%2026-03-07 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%8.4%2026-03-07 12:00
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%10.6%2026-03-07 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%10.7%2026-03-07 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%11.0%2026-03-07 14:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.95%15.0%2026-03-07 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.56%15.8%2026-03-07 14:34