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Frölunda HC v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 42.86%2.33fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.24%42.92%42.86%44.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.142.142.2250.51%46.64%46.73%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.27%34.01%34.00%34.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.752.8541.67%36.65%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.14%4.32fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.67%23.06%23.14%23.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.144.204.4027.40%24.14%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 42.86%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 34.00%; Draw: 23.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%3.3%2026-02-26 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%3.3%2026-02-26 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%3.3%2026-02-26 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.98%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -4.80%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV +0.655%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001%4.8%2026-02-26 17:05
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.50%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.50%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:05
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.50%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.50%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.56%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.20%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -11.28%E -5.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.90%E -3.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.58%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.50%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 20:44
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.98%EV -5.82%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -6.29%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.01%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.85%EV -5.82%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.29%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.50%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -11.60%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-23 20:45
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.20%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.09%EV -13.30%E -5.22%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-26 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 42.24%EV -15.13%E -7.64%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.85%EV -18.40%E -7.67%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.91%EV -15.54%E -4.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-23 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-02-26 17:05
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-02-24 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-02-26 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%4.5%2026-02-25 12:24
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%4.8%2026-02-26 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-02-23 20:45
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-02-23 20:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-02-23 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-02-23 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-02-23 18:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-02-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-02-26 15:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-02-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-02-26 15:10
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-02-26 15:10