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Frölunda HC v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 13:15 UTC

Final: Frölunda HC 3–2 Skellefteå AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 38.09%2.63fair odd
EV +0.930%
Edge +0.351%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.20%38.13%38.09%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.512.502.6544.44%39.77%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%38.49%38.54%40.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.5045.45%42.07%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.38%4.28fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.94%23.38%23.38%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.984.004.2028.17%25.15%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 38.09%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 38.54%; Draw: 23.38%. For Frölunda HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.930%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.66%EV +0.930%E +0.351%K +0.563%G +0.005%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%EV +0.930%E +0.351%K +0.563%G +0.005%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%EV +0.930%E +0.351%K +0.563%G +0.005%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%EV +0.168%E +0.064%K +0.103%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -0.975%E -0.375%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -0.975%E -0.375%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -0.975%E -0.375%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 06:45
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -0.975%E -0.375%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:40
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 13:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 04:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 04:30
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.14%E -5.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -10.00%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.11%EV -6.31%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.74%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.11%EV -6.31%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.74%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.11%EV -10.50%E -4.47%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.01%EV -14.30%E -6.36%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-17 04:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.97%EV -14.30%E -6.36%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.97%EV -13.29%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -17.01%E -4.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-17 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-10-17 12:15
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-10-17 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-10-17 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-10-17 13:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-10-15 21:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-10-15 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-10-15 21:14
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%4.7%2026-10-17 13:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-10-16 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-10-16 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-10-17 04:30
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%8.1%2026-10-17 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-10-16 08:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-10-16 08:04
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-10-16 08:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-10-16 08:15