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Frölunda HC v Luleå HF

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 49.22%2.03fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.50%49.17%49.22%49.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.901.9856.18%52.66%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luleå HF (Visit)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.45%27.44%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.403.453.5532.79%29.37%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.29fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.620%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.60%23.38%23.34%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.014.004.2027.40%24.97%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 49.22%; Luleå HF (Visit): 27.44%; Draw: 23.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.48%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.70%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.41%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%EV -2.58%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%EV -1.98%E -0.472%K -0.620%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-25 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%EV -1.98%E -0.472%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%EV -1.98%E -0.472%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 17:05
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.46%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 15:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.99%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 15:54
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 17:05
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.50%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-25 17:39
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -6.97%E -3.69%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -6.97%E -3.69%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 17:04
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -6.97%E -3.69%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.14%EV -9.43%E -5.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.19%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 15:54
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-25 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -10.91%E -6.03%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -13.56%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -13.65%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-25 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.58%EV -12.39%E -6.96%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -16.31%E -5.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-25 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-03-25 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-03-25 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%5.3%2026-03-25 17:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-25 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-25 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-25 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%5.4%2026-03-25 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-25 15:53
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%7.5%2026-03-25 17:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-24 12:44
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-24 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-24 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-24 12:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.11%10.4%2026-03-25 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.11%10.4%2026-03-25 17:40