The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Frölunda HC v Djurgårdens IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 17:01 UTC

Final: Frölunda HC 6–2 Djurgårdens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 70.06%1.43fair odd
EV -0.508%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%69.98%70.36%72.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4275.76%73.07%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgårdens IF (Visit)

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%30.02%29.64%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.033.4536.36%32.89%33.06%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 70.06%; Djurgårdens IF (Visit): 29.94%. For Djurgårdens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.28%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +3.28%E +0.950%K +1.34%G +0.044%4.2%2026-10-20 16:15
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.51%E -5.69%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.78%E +0.524%K +0.742%G +0.013%5.2%2026-10-20 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.51%E -5.69%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.78%E +0.524%K +0.742%G +0.013%5.2%2026-10-20 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -1.51%E -0.460%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 16:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -0.508%E -0.358%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.79%E -4.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 15:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.68%E -6.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.68%E -6.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 10:54
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.68%E -6.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.68%E -6.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-10-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%7.0%2026-10-20 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%7.5%2026-10-20 16:50
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%8.0%2026-10-20 16:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-10-20 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-10-20 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-10-20 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.21%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%5.1%2026-10-20 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%5.3%2026-10-20 16:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%5.6%2026-10-20 15:40
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.24%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.68%6.3%2026-10-20 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%6.7%2026-10-20 16:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.33%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-20 16:15
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.33%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-20 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.33%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-20 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.33%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-20 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%10.3%2026-10-20 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%11.0%2026-10-20 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.63%15.4%2026-10-20 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 55.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.87%18.8%2026-10-20 16:50