The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Frölunda HC v Brynäs IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 17:00 UTC

Final: Frölunda HC 2–1 Brynäs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frölunda HC (Local)

Prediction 52.32%1.91fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.25%52.22%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.801.8758.82%56.35%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brynäs IF (Visit)

Prediction 47.68%2.10fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.75%47.78%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0551.28%49.69%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frölunda HC (Local): 52.32%; Brynäs IF (Visit): 47.68%. For Frölunda HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.16%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 15:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 13:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.49%E -5.48%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 14:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 05:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 05:24
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 05:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-10-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-10-01 16:50
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%4.1%2026-10-01 16:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-10-01 14:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-10-01 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-10-01 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.98%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%3.6%2026-10-01 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-09-29 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%4.9%2026-10-01 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.0%2026-10-01 16:59
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%6.5%2026-10-01 16:59
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.78%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-10-01 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.10%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-10-01 16:58
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%6.8%2026-10-01 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%6.8%2026-10-01 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%6.8%2026-10-01 15:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-10-01 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%9.4%2026-10-01 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%10.5%2026-10-01 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%12.2%2026-10-01 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.32%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%15.6%2026-10-01 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%17.1%2026-10-01 16:45