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Färjestad BK v Timrå IK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Färjestad BK (Local)
Prediction 57.96%1.73fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.46%57.96%57.96%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.561.6767.11%63.50%64.10%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Timrå IK (Visit)
Prediction 21.52%4.65fair odd
EV +7.58%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.144%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.18%21.45%21.52%22.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.584.705.0026.32%21.83%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV +0.557%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.143%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%20.59%20.52%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.624.704.9024.39%21.63%21.28%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Färjestad BK (Local): 57.96%; Timrå IK (Visit): 21.52%; Draw: 20.52%. For Timrå IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.58%.
17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.73%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV +7.58%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.144% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.557%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.73%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV +7.58%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.144% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.557%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.73%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV +7.58%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.144% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.557%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +5.43%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.076% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.50%E -0.312%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.03%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +5.43%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.076% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -2.52%E -0.531%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.03%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +5.43%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.076% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -2.52%E -0.531%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.03%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +5.43%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.076% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -2.52%E -0.531%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.03%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +5.43%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.076% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -2.52%E -0.531%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -12.48%E -8.26%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV +2.20%E +0.463%K +0.587%G +0.013% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.55%E -0.755%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.94%EV -13.64%E -9.15%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV +1.12%E +0.239%K +0.304%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -5.60%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -3.18%E -0.706%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.99%EV -7.84%E -4.93%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.18%E -0.706%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.17%EV -4.57%E -0.984%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.46%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -4.57%E -0.984%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.83%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.60%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -6.41%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.26%EV -2.52%E -0.531%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -15.86%E -3.87%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.48%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -15.86%E -3.87%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.76%EV -11.90%E -7.83%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.24%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.54%EV -13.81%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.74% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.26% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |