The School of Odds
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Färjestad BK v Örebro HK

2026-09-19 16:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Färjestad BK (Local)

Prediction 59.97%1.67fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%59.89%60.10%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.571.6267.57%64.62%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 40.03%2.50fair odd
EV +0.085%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%40.11%39.90%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.422.382.5042.55%41.41%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Färjestad BK (Local): 59.97%; Örebro HK (Visit): 40.03%. For Örebro HK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.498. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.500, producing a positive expected value of +0.085%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.085%E +0.034%K +0.057%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.085%E +0.034%K +0.057%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.085%E +0.034%K +0.057%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 16:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.085%E +0.034%K +0.057%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 17:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.25%E -3.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.72%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.25%E -3.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.72%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 23:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.72%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.72%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.72%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.12%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.52%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 05:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%3.9%2026-09-18 09:35
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 59.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43%10.4%2026-09-17 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-29 16:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-09-17 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-09-17 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-09-17 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%4.0%2026-09-16 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%4.4%2026-09-17 23:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-09-17 09:55
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-09-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-09-17 23:10
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-09-17 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-09-17 23:10
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.79%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%6.2%2026-09-17 14:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-09-17 14:16
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%9.9%2026-09-17 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%10.9%2026-09-17 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-09-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.56%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%16.2%2026-09-17 09:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 47.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%19.6%2026-09-17 09:56