The School of Odds
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Färjestad BK v Örebro HK

2026-09-19 16:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Färjestad BK (Local)

Prediction 63.35%1.58fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -5.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.35%63.41%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.11%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 36.65%2.73fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.611%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.65%36.59%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.602.7040.00%38.19%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Färjestad BK (Local): 63.35%; Örebro HK (Visit): 36.65%. For Örebro HK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -1.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 01:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 01:10
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.04%E -0.385%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.04%E -0.385%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 65.86%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%7.7%2026-08-29 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 65.86%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%7.7%2026-08-29 01:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%4.4%2026-08-29 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-08-29 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-08-29 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-08-29 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-08-29 01:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-08-29 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-08-29 01:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-08-29 01:09
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-08-29 01:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.71%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%9.3%2026-08-29 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.34%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-08-29 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%11.1%2026-08-29 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%12.6%2026-08-29 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.99%16.2%2026-08-29 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 51.43%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%20.0%2026-08-29 01:10