The School of Odds
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Djurgårdens IF v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgårdens IF 4–3 Växjö Lakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgårdens IF (Local)

Prediction 37.60%2.66fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.61%37.73%37.60%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.582.592.8045.45%38.69%38.61%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 39.09%2.56fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.58%38.98%39.09%41.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.292.4947.62%43.63%43.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.92%23.29%23.31%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.964.004.1528.17%25.23%25.00%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgårdens IF (Local): 37.60%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 39.09%; Draw: 23.31%. For Djurgårdens IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.28%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV +5.28%E +1.88%K +2.93%G +0.155%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.66%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV +5.28%E +1.88%K +2.93%G +0.155%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.66%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV +5.28%E +1.88%K +2.93%G +0.155%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.66%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%EV +3.40%E +1.23%K +1.94%G +0.066%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.93%EV -10.87%E -4.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.52%E +0.562%K +0.892%G +0.014%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 15:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.52%E +0.562%K +0.892%G +0.014%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.52%E +0.562%K +0.892%G +0.014%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 15:25
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.52%E +0.562%K +0.892%G +0.014%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 15:25
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.61%EV -1.12%E -0.424%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -14.78%E -6.78%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-24 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.93%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.63%EV -16.34%E -7.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-24 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.27%EV -5.63%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.26%E -0.786%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 11:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.18%E -2.58%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.64%EV -6.38%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.22%EV -6.57%E -2.75%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -5.59%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 16:05
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.64%EV -6.38%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.22%EV -6.57%E -2.75%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -5.59%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.09%E -4.39%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-23 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.13%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.82%EV -14.00%E -6.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -17.25%E -4.86%K -6.76%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-24 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.49%EV -17.28%E -7.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.28%EV -17.91%E -8.53%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.23%EV -17.25%E -4.86%K -6.76%G +0.000%21.2%2026-09-23 12:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%4.7%2026-09-24 04:30
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-09-24 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%5.0%2026-09-24 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%5.3%2026-09-24 15:45
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%5.3%2026-09-24 15:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-23 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-23 12:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-23 12:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-09-23 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-09-23 08:44
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-09-23 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-09-23 08:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-09-23 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-09-24 12:14
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-09-24 12:00