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Djurgårdens IF v Skellefteå AIK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Djurgårdens IF (Local)
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.72%26.34%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.583.7530.30%28.24%27.93%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Skellefteå AIK (Visit)
Prediction 52.52%1.90fair odd
EV -0.211%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.05%52.16%52.52%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.771.9060.24%56.77%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.14%4.73fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.392%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%21.12%21.14%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.504.604.8025.32%22.21%21.74%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgårdens IF (Local): 26.34%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 52.52%; Draw: 21.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.
16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -2.56%E -0.691%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +1.49%E +0.310%K +0.392%G +0.006% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -2.56%E -0.691%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +1.49%E +0.310%K +0.392%G +0.006% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -2.56%E -0.691%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +1.49%E +0.310%K +0.392%G +0.006% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV +0.432%E +0.091%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.625%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.625%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.625%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.625%E -0.133%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.24%E -0.331%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.72%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -10.19%E -5.96%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -0.211%E -0.111%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 14:13 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -10.71%E -6.30%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%EV -5.91%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.21%EV -5.72%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.71%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -5.91%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -9.08%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.66%E -5.62%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.08%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -16.48%E -4.17%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.87%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.20%EV -12.82%E -7.72%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.94%EV -16.48%E -4.17%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |