The School of Odds
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Brynäs IF v Timrå IK

Kickoff: 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC

Final: Brynäs IF 1–0 Timrå IK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF (Local)

Prediction 70.53%1.42fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -7.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%70.72%70.02%72.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.63%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Timrå IK (Visit)

Prediction 29.47%3.39fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%29.28%29.98%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.103.4333.33%31.80%32.26%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brynäs IF (Local): 70.53%; Timrå IK (Visit): 29.47%. For Timrå IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.48%EV +1.08%E +0.315%K +0.444%G +0.005%6.1%2026-09-29 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.196%E +0.058%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 09:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.196%E +0.058%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 09:35
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.37%E -2.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 09:34
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 18:01
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 14:19
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%5.2%2026-09-29 16:55
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%5.4%2026-09-29 09:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-09-29 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.84%9.5%2026-09-29 16:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.3%2026-09-29 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.3%2026-09-29 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.3%2026-09-29 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.27%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.62%4.0%2026-09-29 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%5.0%2026-09-29 15:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-09-29 09:40
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%6.2%2026-09-29 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%6.4%2026-09-29 15:10
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%6.4%2026-09-29 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%6.4%2026-09-29 15:10
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%6.4%2026-09-29 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%6.5%2026-09-29 09:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%6.6%2026-09-29 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%9.7%2026-09-29 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%11.1%2026-09-29 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%12.7%2026-09-29 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.12%15.6%2026-09-29 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.92%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.10%17.0%2026-09-29 16:50