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Brynäs IF v Malmö Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF (Local)

Prediction 62.68%1.60fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.33%62.54%62.68%63.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5669.93%67.04%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmö Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 18.29%5.47fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -0.710%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.20%18.31%18.29%20.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.065.105.3023.26%19.77%19.61%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.03%5.26fair odd
EV -0.106%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.35%19.15%19.03%20.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.945.005.2523.26%20.26%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brynäs IF (Local): 62.68%; Malmö Redhawks (Visit): 18.29%; Draw: 19.03%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.25, with an expected value of -0.106%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.83%EV -2.22%E -1.42%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.67%EV -0.106%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-10 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.85%E -1.84%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -2.96%E -0.580%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.14%EV -3.47%E -2.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV -0.106%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.14%EV -3.47%E -2.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV -0.106%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.64%EV -4.73%E -3.11%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.86%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.35%E -3.54%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.06%E -0.203%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 17:15
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.72%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -5.80%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.01%EV -5.81%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:45
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.62%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 07:35
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.61%E -4.43%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.96%E -0.580%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.61%E -4.43%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.96%E -0.580%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.61%E -4.43%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.96%E -0.580%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:25
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.61%E -4.43%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.96%E -0.580%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -6.61%E -4.43%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.19%EV -5.80%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -5.81%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -14.03%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.57%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 07:34
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.11%E -6.29%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.86%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 17:15
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.11%E -6.29%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -16.28%E -3.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-10 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.43%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -17.69%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -18.18%E -4.23%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-10 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -10.37%E -7.25%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.33%EV -10.37%E -7.25%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -21.34%E -4.96%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -16.28%E -3.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-10 07:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-10 17:55
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-03-10 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-03-10 12:59
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%4.5%2026-03-10 07:32
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%4.8%2026-03-10 17:45
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%4.8%2026-03-10 17:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-03-10 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-03-10 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-03-10 09:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.34%6.1%2026-03-10 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%8.3%2026-03-09 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-03-09 15:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-03-09 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-03-10 16:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-03-10 16:55
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%9.0%2026-03-10 17:55