Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF v HV71

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF (Local)

Prediction 66.28%1.51fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -7.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.95%66.27%66.28%67.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.35%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 16.08%6.22fair odd
EV +0.497%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%16.17%16.08%17.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.876.006.2520.00%17.03%16.67%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.64%5.67fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.252%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.75%17.56%17.64%19.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.355.505.7522.22%18.69%18.18%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brynäs IF (Local): 66.28%; HV71 (Visit): 16.08%; Draw: 17.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.67. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.38%EV -3.90%E -2.69%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.63%EV +0.497%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.99%EV +1.45%E +0.252%K +0.306%G +0.004%2.4%2026-03-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.68%EV -5.22%E -3.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +0.497%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.83%EV +1.45%E +0.252%K +0.306%G +0.004%3.3%2026-03-14 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.68%EV -5.22%E -3.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +0.497%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.83%EV +1.45%E +0.252%K +0.306%G +0.004%3.3%2026-03-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.89%E -4.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.66%EV -1.91%E -0.314%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -1.19%E -0.213%K -0.260%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:05
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -5.22%E -3.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.37%EV -12.85%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.19%E -0.213%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.89%E -4.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.21%EV -12.37%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -1.19%E -0.213%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:49
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.91%EV -3.24%E -2.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.59%EV -6.74%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -2.96%E -0.538%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -7.21%E -5.15%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -1.91%E -0.314%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.96%E -0.538%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:05
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -7.21%E -5.15%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -1.91%E -0.314%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.96%E -0.538%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -7.21%E -5.15%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -1.91%E -0.314%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.96%E -0.538%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -7.21%E -5.15%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -1.91%E -0.314%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.96%E -0.538%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.64%EV -9.86%E -7.25%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.72%E -0.875%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.23%EV -10.53%E -7.80%K -30.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -6.74%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.12%EV -6.49%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -4.56%E -3.17%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.497%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -7.37%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 14:05
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.21%E -5.15%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.37%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -8.54%E -6.19%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.75%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73%EV -10.02%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.39%EV -11.19%E -8.35%K -32.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%EV -19.60%E -3.92%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%EV -17.07%E -3.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-14 14:05
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.86%E -7.25%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -18.84%E -4.10%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.95%EV -9.86%E -7.25%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -16.39%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -20.60%E -4.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%4.4%2026-03-14 12:50
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-03-12 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-03-12 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-03-12 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-03-14 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-03-14 13:10
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-03-14 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.02%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.98%6.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%7.5%2026-03-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%7.5%2026-03-14 14:05
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%8.0%2026-03-14 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-03-14 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 44.22%1.30I 76.92%NM 55.78%37.9%2026-03-14 14:00