Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF v Frölunda HC

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF (Local)

Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.44%52.38%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.801.8757.80%56.11%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frölunda HC (Visit)

Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.56%47.62%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0751.28%50.04%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brynäs IF (Local): 52.41%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 47.59%. For Frölunda HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 10:32
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 14:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 21:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 12:45
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 12:43
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.23%E -4.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.49%E -0.720%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 10:35
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-02-28 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-02-28 14:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%7.9%2026-02-28 14:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-02-28 02:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.64%2.7%2026-02-28 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.64%2.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.64%2.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%4.0%2026-02-27 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.72%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-02-28 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-02-27 10:35
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-02-28 14:00
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-02-28 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.03%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-02-28 10:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-02-27 10:33
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.85%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%8.8%2026-02-28 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.62%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%9.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-02-27 10:34
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%11.6%2026-02-28 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.37%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%15.2%2026-02-28 02:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.31%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%21.0%2026-02-27 10:35