The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Brynäs IF v Djurgårdens IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Brynäs IF 3–2 Djurgårdens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF (Local)

Prediction 67.54%1.48fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -7.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.97%67.85%67.44%69.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.99%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgårdens IF (Visit)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.607%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%32.15%32.56%33.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.932.903.1234.72%34.11%34.48%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brynäs IF (Local): 67.54%; Djurgårdens IF (Visit): 32.46%. For Djurgårdens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +1.29%E +0.412%K +0.607%G +0.008%5.6%2026-10-15 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 15:50
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 04:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 15:10
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.83%E -6.54%K -25.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:59
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.83%E -6.54%K -25.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 17:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-10-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%5.3%2026-10-15 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%6.9%2026-10-15 16:55
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%8.4%2026-10-15 16:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-10-15 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%2.9%2026-10-15 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%2.9%2026-10-15 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%4.2%2026-10-15 16:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%4.2%2026-10-12 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%5.4%2026-10-15 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%5.8%2026-10-12 17:29
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.21%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.70%6.2%2026-10-15 15:45
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%6.4%2026-10-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%6.4%2026-10-15 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%6.4%2026-10-15 16:29
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%6.4%2026-10-15 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%6.7%2026-10-15 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%9.7%2026-10-15 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%10.6%2026-10-12 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%17.1%2026-10-15 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 54.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%20.0%2026-10-12 17:30