The School of Odds
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Brynäs IF v Djurgårdens IF

2026-10-15 17:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brynäs IF (Local)

Prediction 67.53%1.48fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -9.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%67.53%66.74%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.361.4273.53%72.16%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgårdens IF (Visit)

Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV +0.644%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.307%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.47%33.26%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.883.1035.71%33.85%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brynäs IF (Local): 67.53%; Djurgårdens IF (Visit): 32.47%. For Djurgårdens IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +0.644%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.644%E +0.208%K +0.307%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-11 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.644%E +0.208%K +0.307%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-11 12:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.644%E +0.208%K +0.307%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-11 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 08:45
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 09:05
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 09:04
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-11 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-11 10:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-10-11 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-10-11 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-10-11 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%5.0%2026-10-11 12:39
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-10-11 12:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-10-11 12:34
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-10-11 12:39
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-10-11 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%6.1%2026-10-11 12:45
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%6.3%2026-10-11 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%6.6%2026-10-11 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%10.2%2026-10-11 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%11.1%2026-10-11 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 54.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.16%19.7%2026-10-11 12:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 53.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.11%22.2%2026-10-11 12:44