The School of Odds
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Visby/Roma HK v Östersunds IK

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 12:04 UTC

Final: Visby/Roma HK 3–4 Östersunds IK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Visby/Roma HK (Local)

Prediction 32.48%3.08fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.19%32.48%32.40%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.872.882.9536.36%34.81%34.72%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds IK (Visit)

Prediction 45.17%2.21fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.62%45.17%45.25%45.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.102.1450.25%48.11%47.62%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%22.35%22.35%22.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.144.104.2525.00%24.16%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Visby/Roma HK (Local): 32.48%; Östersunds IK (Visit): 45.17%; Draw: 22.35%. For Östersunds IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -3.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.19%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -3.33%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.19%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -3.33%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.19%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -3.33%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.19%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -3.33%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.81%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 11:14
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.46%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.46%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.46%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.46%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.14%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 11:19
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.34%EV -7.76%E -2.73%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.25%EV -8.30%E -4.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-27 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.34%EV -9.20%E -4.58%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-27 11:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.55%EV -9.06%E -3.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.67%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.61%E -2.65%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-27 11:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.06%E -3.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.29%EV -10.11%E -5.08%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -10.61%E -2.65%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-27 11:19
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.68%E -3.88%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.65%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-27 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%5.3%2026-09-27 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%5.3%2026-09-27 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%7.4%2026-09-27 11:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-27 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-27 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-27 11:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-27 11:00
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%8.5%2026-09-27 11:20