The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Visby/Roma HK v Mora IK

2026-11-13 18:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Visby/Roma HK (Local)

Prediction 21.21%4.71fair odd
EV -6.68%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%21.21%21.38%21.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.334.354.4023.81%23.12%22.99%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mora IK (Visit)

Prediction 58.45%1.71fair odd
EV -7.65%
Edge -4.84%
Kelly -13.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.94%58.45%58.19%59.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.561.561.5864.94%64.10%64.10%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.34%4.92fair odd
EV -7.46%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.05%20.34%20.43%20.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.504.534.5522.73%22.22%22.10%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Visby/Roma HK (Local): 21.21%; Mora IK (Visit): 58.45%; Draw: 20.34%. For Visby/Roma HK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.40, with an expected value of -6.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.91%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.20%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -9.99%E -6.48%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.05%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-12 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.47%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-12 06:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%8.1%2026-11-12 06:10
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 31.89%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.11%10.4%2026-11-12 06:10
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%11.4%2026-11-12 06:10

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